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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 19th, 2023

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  • Please don’t mistake empathy and compassion with inaction. Each ruzzian soldier has a family and a life. Each of them deserves our compassion and sympathy after they stop fighting. Ether via surrender, injury or death. In that order of preference.

    The “it’s not that simple” argument has been puzzling me since the moment of the full invasion. I must confess having family and friends in Ukraine, really helped with the perspective.

    See, just when it started, I saw pictures of people walking for hours and days with tiny suitcases, trying to escape death. Walking into a complete unknown, which is still mostly the case for them even today.

    In the other hand I was talking to ruzzians who were against the war, but the extent of their action was from confirming “well, this is awkward” to saying “I would have left, but”. Basically also saying it’s uncomfortable, but doing something is even more uncomfortable.

    And now suddenly they are fighting for their life, but not with a suitcase, but with a machine gun.

    So three years later, when I see ruzzians stop fighting because of surrender, injury or death, I feel sorry for the situation they’re in, but I also see that they are in this situation because if the choices they were making for the last three years.

    And majority of those fighting against Ukraine in Ukraine today are still making a choice to continue. Because the alternative is uncomfortable or even because they want to.

    What I concluded regarding empathy is that our approach needs to be that of a surgeon - they know that they will cause damage, but their goal is to minimise the overall damage.

    I hope they would choose surrender, but when not, incapacitation and death are our next best options.









  • Civilian disobedience can take many forms, not all of them involve an active confrontation with the government or police.

    Unfortunately, from what it looks like, all everyday russians are living their normal everyday lives.

    Unfortunately this means that the majority of the population either supports the war (especially as long as they’re winning) or are zombified enough not to care.

    In either case, those are people that will be fine with being conscripted and sent to the front. As long as they’re not getting hurt, themselves, of course.

    By all means, I’m not advocating russian style of bombing obviously civilian targets, but those russians are far from poor and powerless.

    They do nothing because it’s uncomfortable.








  • doo@sh.itjust.workstoAutism@lemmy.worldLanguages
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    15 days ago

    I’m on my eight’s language and the sad realisation I had around the fourth is that I’ve seen people better communicating while speaking one and a half languages.

    I guess I don’t have any suggestions. Watch media in the language. At least you’ll understand it better and maybe by parroting, somewhat improve the speaking. But without human feedback, it’s hard to know if you’re saying something wrong.



  • They’re not. At the rate of their “winning” they will grind themselves into nothing and quite soon, hopefully.

    See, ruzzia is claimed to be big and have lots of people. Big, true, people, not so much. Let’s have a calculation.

    Their population is 140 million. Half are women. 70 million. 10% are the right age for war, but let’s count 20%. 14 million potential soldiers. Easily half of those are alcoholics or otherwise sick. 7 million. Then you actually need people to work at factories and what not, you cannot just send everyone to the war. Let’s say half, so we’re down to 3.5 million. Let’s assume they conscripted those. In the military you need cooks, drivers, mechanics, instructors etc. They say that in an army every frontline soldier is backed by 4-6 support personell, this is ruzzia, so let’s assume just one, even if that’s impossible. Now we’re down to 1.5 million soldiers.

    They already lost close to a million (dead and wounded), yes some are back after recovering, but they’re close to literally run out of people who can support their “slow winning”. 40k Koreans? Not statistically significant. Weapons? They’re already using vintage shit because they lost the modern ones.

    Yes, they’re still grinding but extremely slowly and their replenishment rate is nowhere close to be sustainable.

    Pessimistically, Ukraine needs to hold till the end of 2026, optimistically, ruzzian aggression will collapse within the next 6 months.

    Btw, it will not be gradual. They will pretend until the end and then it will be fairly quick. WW1 lasted 4 years and was a war of attrition, mostly static with a quick collapse in the last 6 months or so.

    So no, they’re not winning. If anything, they already lost.