• Wogi@lemmy.world
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    7 months ago

    So, I was going to do that math but it’s 65 fucking countries and I’m bored but I ain’t got that much battery left on my phone.

    At one time Britain ruled over 1 out of every 5 people on the planet. If we carry that forward to today it’s roughly 1.6 billion people. Let’s call that the lower bound.

    If we take the average population of any given country, which is fair given that China wasn’t but India was one of them, and divide that by the number of countries and then multiply it by the number Britain used to rule, we get 2.6 billion.

    Let’s call that the upper bound.

    There are roughly 2.6 billion christians worldwide. But not all of them celebrate Christmas. In the US, 85%-95% do. Let’s just use that for the upper bound and say 2.2 to 2.5 billion people celebrate Christmas worldwide. Let’s say 50% is the lower bound, at 1.3 billion people.

    Which means that it’s possible, and not even unlikely that more people celebrate independence from Britain than celebrate Christmas.

      • Wogi@lemmy.world
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        7 months ago

        … Rounding error. That number is gonna be pretty small, and mostly limited to majority Christian, Western countries.

    • 1rre
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      7 months ago

      Using 85-95% as the upper bound for celebrating Christmas is ridiculous, I guess it might be lower in the US but at least in Europe it’s going to be well over 100% due to atheists

        • 1rre
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          7 months ago

          Yep, despite the fact you said it was an upper bound… even 100% of Christians would be off for an upper bound as historically the types of Christian in the US are the least likely to celebrate Christmas and many Atheists, Agnostics etc. also celebrate Christmas

      • Wogi@lemmy.world
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        7 months ago

        It’s napkin math my man. Not all Christians celebrate Christmas, not all that celebrate are Christian. There are atheists that do, gnostics, witnesses, Adventists, etc that don’t. There’s a movement in Brazil alone that rivals the population of atheists in Sweden.

        My point is, there’s a lot of carve outs. The idea was to get reasonably close, if you’ve got a better method I’d love to see how you answer the question.

        • 1rre
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          7 months ago

          If you want an upper bound, 163 countries and 2 territories have Christmas as a public holiday.

          There’s going to be foreign nationals, people who don’t crare for their government etc. who are carveouts for independence days but your upper bound considers everyone in those countries - my issue is that your lower bounds are both very much lower bounds, but then you’ve got one upper bound which is an approximation which may be higher or lower than the total and another which is actually a upper bound seemingly just to get the conclusion you wanted