Three caution points for Democrats…
- Trump wins if the difference between the polls at this point & the result matches what we saw in 2016 or 2020.
- Trump’s more popular now than at this pt in 2016 or 2020.
- Dems don’t say they’re more likely to vote now than in May
I’m in a battleground state and haven’t seen a single Harris (or Biden) sign. Just more and more Trump signs going up as we get closer to the election.
Don’t get complacent.
“Here’s some doomer poll data, but I put in a comment that the polls don’t matter” is a heck of a contradiction.