On Sunday, September 8, polling expert and FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver updated his presidential election forecast and gave GOP nominee Donald Trump a 63.8 percent chance of winning the Electoral College in November and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris only a 36 percent chance. But vet...
Nate Silver is no longer with fivethirtyeight.
Yes, I fucking well know that, because I listen to Galen Druke on the FiveThirtyEight podcast every fucking week. I know exactly how long he’s been gone, because I’ve been listening to the podcast for that long. There is nothing in my statement that implied that Silver still worked for ABC News or FiveThirtyEight; my statement only says that FiveThirtyEight gives Harris a lead that’s barely outside the margin of error, and, as the pollsters that appear on the podcast frequently say, it’s simply not clear how well current polls are capturing what’s actually going to happen on election day.
So make sure all your Republican friends get up bright and early on Wednesday, 6 November to vote for Trump!
Why wasn’t the fact that Nate Silver is not affiliated with FiveThirtyEight your opening sentence? It didn’t occur to me, until the parent comment, that you were not arguing for FiveThirtyEight. As an aside, I, and no one else here, were privy to the fact you listen to some podcast.
Because it doesn’t have to be. They’re two different thoughts. Hence the paragraph break. Moreover, I note in my first goddamn sentence that Silver is good at odds regardless of who he works for. That clearly implies acknowledgement that Silver is working for an organization funded by Thiel, rather than for an ABC affiliate.