Summary
Polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has named Vice President Kamala Harris as the narrow favorite to win the presidential race on Election Day, shifting from former President Donald Trump for the first time since October 17.
Harrisâs lead is razor-thin, with FiveThirtyEightâs model showing her winning 50 out of 100 simulations compared to Trumpâs 49. Similarly, Nate Silverâs model in The Silver Bulletin also slightly favors Harris, giving her a win in 50.015% of cases.
Both forecasts emphasize the unprecedented closeness of this race, with Pennsylvania as a key battleground.
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