Assuming neither Redbull driver finishes, who is the most likely driver to win a race? Alonso seems like the obvious choice, but with Mercedes looking strong, who knows?
What would happen if Stroll recovers and wins before Alonso? What sort of meltdown are we looking at?
Alonso won’t care if Stroll wins a single race in a season where the WDC isn’t on. He’ll be happy for him and the team.
If Stroll wins a race when the WDC is on, it means Alonso also has a race winning car and he’ll be backing himself to be better over the season.
As for the question in the title, Hamilton, Alonso, Russel, Leclerc, in order of most likely descending.