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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • Iran really does not have a choice. They can not seriously attack Israel. Their missile launchers seem to be destroyed and they hit very little. Air force is not an option either. Hamaz is at war already, Hezbollah has been bombed hard and can hardly fight, much less supplied.

    They could bomb some US military installations, but best case they kill some Americans.

    Blocking the Persian Golf would fail as well and piss of pretty much the rest of the world.

    So ending it is a good option.


  • Nope, right wing bullshit repackaged to be attractive to young men, who want sex. Basically the idea is to naturalize hierachy in male groups, while at the same time isolating them socialy. When you try to dominate others, they usually do not like that and lets be clear most guys want to be the dominant kind in that kind of system. The funny part being that women also usually do not like it. There is a reason half the influencers in these sort of communities end up having to pay for women or just rape.






  • Also closing it means Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain have a massive shipping problem, which would really threaten those countries in such a massive way, that it could be seen as an attack on them. Not to mention that oil is shipped to countries all around the world. Basically everybody who is not an oil exporter is going to hate them for doing it.

    Also Iran needs to ship oil via the straight as well. Starting some conflict around it, would really hurt their income.










  • The tools are roughly the same, however the key difference is the position. With the fall of the Soviet Union Russia became nearly a regional power, which is trying to become a great power and hopes to be a super power again. The US ended up being the remaining super power and mostly controlled the world. So the US does not have a massive plan for world domination, because it already is pretty much in that position.

    You can see that with China. The US was very interested of integrating China in its global economic system. However now it is starting to take over, so we see trade wars and things like the Muslims.

    Similar situation in the Middle East. The US used to import a lot of oil, so low oil prices were important. At the same time oil is traded in dollars, which as everybody needs oil, creates a lot of demand for the dollar. The US can just print more, which is pretty much free money. However the Middle East is the clear main source of oil, so to make sure those countries do not sell in another currency, the US has to show strength. Hence taking out Iraq. Nowadays the US is an oil exporter. So it is much happier to take out the competition. That happened in Venezuela, Russia and now Iran. Keeps up the oil price, which helps the US economy.

    However those are all reactions to events, rather then some grand strategy. The US just wants to keep its position in the world.