copaceticMEnglish · vor 1 MonatI underestimated AI capabilities (again)plus-squarewww.planned-obsolescence.orgexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkI underestimated AI capabilities (again)plus-squarewww.planned-obsolescence.orgcopaceticMEnglish · vor 1 Monatmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 1 MonatBahnBet — Bet on German Train Delaysplus-squarebahn.betexternal-linkmessage-square1linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down12
arrow-up10arrow-down1external-linkBahnBet — Bet on German Train Delaysplus-squarebahn.betcopaceticMEnglish · vor 1 Monatmessage-square1linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 2 MonatenAggressively reorienting the forecasting community towards AI resilienceplus-squareforecasting.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down11
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkAggressively reorienting the forecasting community towards AI resilienceplus-squareforecasting.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 2 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 2 MonatenPolymarket vs Forecasting: Geopolitical Shifts in 2026plus-squareswiftcentre.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkPolymarket vs Forecasting: Geopolitical Shifts in 2026plus-squareswiftcentre.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 2 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 2 MonatenHe Predicted the Next Shutdown 3 Weeks Earlyplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkHe Predicted the Next Shutdown 3 Weeks Earlyplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 2 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 3 MonatenAI predictions for 2026plus-squarewww.planned-obsolescence.orgexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down12
arrow-up1-1arrow-down1external-linkAI predictions for 2026plus-squarewww.planned-obsolescence.orgcopaceticMEnglish · vor 3 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 3 MonatenMantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curlsplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkMantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curlsplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 3 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 9 MonatenMetaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?plus-squarewww.metaculus.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkMetaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?plus-squarewww.metaculus.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 9 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 9 Monaten$286 to $1M from ‘Reversing Stupidity’plus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-link$286 to $1M from ‘Reversing Stupidity’plus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 9 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 9 MonatenHow accurate are prediction markets?plus-squarebrier.fyiexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down11
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkHow accurate are prediction markets?plus-squarebrier.fyicopaceticMEnglish · vor 9 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 9 MonatenForecasting Americaplus-squarenews.manifold.marketsexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkForecasting Americaplus-squarenews.manifold.marketscopaceticMEnglish · vor 9 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 9 MonatenHe Made $300k Betting on a “Narcissistic Sociopath”plus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down12
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkHe Made $300k Betting on a “Narcissistic Sociopath”plus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 9 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 10 MonatenIranian Regime Is Cooked: Forecaster Who Predicted Israeli Strikeplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down11
arrow-up10arrow-down1external-linkIranian Regime Is Cooked: Forecaster Who Predicted Israeli Strikeplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 10 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 10 MonatenEscalation Between Iran and Israel: Forecasts Amid Rapid Developmentsplus-squarewww.swiftcentre.orgexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkEscalation Between Iran and Israel: Forecasts Amid Rapid Developmentsplus-squarewww.swiftcentre.orgcopaceticMEnglish · vor 10 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 10 Monaten🔮 This Substack Writer Made 2.5X in Two Weeks Betting on a Polish Election Upsetplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-link🔮 This Substack Writer Made 2.5X in Two Weeks Betting on a Polish Election Upsetplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 10 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 10 MonatenWill Jesus Christ return in an election year?plus-squareericneyman.wordpress.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up15arrow-down12
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkWill Jesus Christ return in an election year?plus-squareericneyman.wordpress.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 10 Monatenmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 1 JahrForecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI accelerationplus-squarepeterwildeford.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square1linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkForecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI accelerationplus-squarepeterwildeford.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 1 Jahrmessage-square1linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 1 JahrThe War in Ukraine Ends This Year: Thoughts and Predictionsplus-squarethecategoricalimperative.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkThe War in Ukraine Ends This Year: Thoughts and Predictionsplus-squarethecategoricalimperative.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 1 Jahrmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · vor 1 JahrBetting on the Pope was the original prediction marketplus-squarenodumbideas.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkBetting on the Pope was the original prediction marketplus-squarenodumbideas.comcopaceticMEnglish · vor 1 Jahrmessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · edit-2vor 1 JahrManifolds abandons Sweepstakes and goes pure play-money againplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.siteexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkManifolds abandons Sweepstakes and goes pure play-money againplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.sitecopaceticMEnglish · edit-2vor 1 Jahrmessage-square0linkfedilink
