copaceticMEnglish · 8 days agoAggressively reorienting the forecasting community towards AI resilienceplus-squareforecasting.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down11
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkAggressively reorienting the forecasting community towards AI resilienceplus-squareforecasting.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · 8 days agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 16 days agoPolymarket vs Forecasting: Geopolitical Shifts in 2026plus-squareswiftcentre.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkPolymarket vs Forecasting: Geopolitical Shifts in 2026plus-squareswiftcentre.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · 16 days agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 22 days agoHe Predicted the Next Shutdown 3 Weeks Earlyplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkHe Predicted the Next Shutdown 3 Weeks Earlyplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 22 days agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 month agoAI predictions for 2026plus-squarewww.planned-obsolescence.orgexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down12
arrow-up1-1arrow-down1external-linkAI predictions for 2026plus-squarewww.planned-obsolescence.orgcopaceticMEnglish · 1 month agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 month agoMantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curlsplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkMantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curlsplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comcopaceticMEnglish · 1 month agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 7 months agoMetaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?plus-squarewww.metaculus.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkMetaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?plus-squarewww.metaculus.comcopaceticMEnglish · 7 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 7 months ago$286 to $1M from ‘Reversing Stupidity’plus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-link$286 to $1M from ‘Reversing Stupidity’plus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 7 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 7 months agoHow accurate are prediction markets?plus-squarebrier.fyiexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down11
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkHow accurate are prediction markets?plus-squarebrier.fyicopaceticMEnglish · 7 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 7 months agoForecasting Americaplus-squarenews.manifold.marketsexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkForecasting Americaplus-squarenews.manifold.marketscopaceticMEnglish · 7 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 8 months agoHe Made $300k Betting on a “Narcissistic Sociopath”plus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down12
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkHe Made $300k Betting on a “Narcissistic Sociopath”plus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 8 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 8 months agoIranian Regime Is Cooked: Forecaster Who Predicted Israeli Strikeplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down11
arrow-up10arrow-down1external-linkIranian Regime Is Cooked: Forecaster Who Predicted Israeli Strikeplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 8 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 8 months agoEscalation Between Iran and Israel: Forecasts Amid Rapid Developmentsplus-squarewww.swiftcentre.orgexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkEscalation Between Iran and Israel: Forecasts Amid Rapid Developmentsplus-squarewww.swiftcentre.orgcopaceticMEnglish · 8 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 9 months ago🔮 This Substack Writer Made 2.5X in Two Weeks Betting on a Polish Election Upsetplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-link🔮 This Substack Writer Made 2.5X in Two Weeks Betting on a Polish Election Upsetplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 9 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 9 months agoWill Jesus Christ return in an election year?plus-squareericneyman.wordpress.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up15arrow-down12
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkWill Jesus Christ return in an election year?plus-squareericneyman.wordpress.comcopaceticMEnglish · 9 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 10 months agoForecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI accelerationplus-squarepeterwildeford.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square1linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkForecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI accelerationplus-squarepeterwildeford.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · 10 months agomessage-square1linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 11 months agoThe War in Ukraine Ends This Year: Thoughts and Predictionsplus-squarethecategoricalimperative.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkThe War in Ukraine Ends This Year: Thoughts and Predictionsplus-squarethecategoricalimperative.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · 11 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 year agoBetting on the Pope was the original prediction marketplus-squarenodumbideas.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkBetting on the Pope was the original prediction marketplus-squarenodumbideas.comcopaceticMEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · edit-21 year agoManifolds abandons Sweepstakes and goes pure play-money againplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.siteexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkManifolds abandons Sweepstakes and goes pure play-money againplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.sitecopaceticMEnglish · edit-21 year agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 year agoThe State of Metaculusplus-squarewww.metaculus.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkThe State of Metaculusplus-squarewww.metaculus.comcopaceticMEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 year agoTry The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contestplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkTry The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contestplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comcopaceticMEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square0linkfedilink
