copaceticMEnglish · 29 days agoMetaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?plus-squarewww.metaculus.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkMetaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?plus-squarewww.metaculus.comcopaceticMEnglish · 29 days agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 month ago$286 to $1M from ‘Reversing Stupidity’plus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-link$286 to $1M from ‘Reversing Stupidity’plus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 1 month agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 month agoHow accurate are prediction markets?plus-squarebrier.fyiexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down11
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkHow accurate are prediction markets?plus-squarebrier.fyicopaceticMEnglish · 1 month agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 1 month agoForecasting Americaplus-squarenews.manifold.marketsexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkForecasting Americaplus-squarenews.manifold.marketscopaceticMEnglish · 1 month agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 2 months agoHe Made $300k Betting on a “Narcissistic Sociopath”plus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down12
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkHe Made $300k Betting on a “Narcissistic Sociopath”plus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 2 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 2 months agoIranian Regime Is Cooked: Forecaster Who Predicted Israeli Strikeplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down11
arrow-up10arrow-down1external-linkIranian Regime Is Cooked: Forecaster Who Predicted Israeli Strikeplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 2 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 2 months agoEscalation Between Iran and Israel: Forecasts Amid Rapid Developmentsplus-squarewww.swiftcentre.orgexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkEscalation Between Iran and Israel: Forecasts Amid Rapid Developmentsplus-squarewww.swiftcentre.orgcopaceticMEnglish · 2 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 3 months ago🔮 This Substack Writer Made 2.5X in Two Weeks Betting on a Polish Election Upsetplus-squarenews.polymarket.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-link🔮 This Substack Writer Made 2.5X in Two Weeks Betting on a Polish Election Upsetplus-squarenews.polymarket.comcopaceticMEnglish · 3 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 3 months agoWill Jesus Christ return in an election year?plus-squareericneyman.wordpress.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up15arrow-down12
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkWill Jesus Christ return in an election year?plus-squareericneyman.wordpress.comcopaceticMEnglish · 3 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 4 months agoForecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI accelerationplus-squarepeterwildeford.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square1linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkForecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI accelerationplus-squarepeterwildeford.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · 4 months agomessage-square1linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 5 months agoThe War in Ukraine Ends This Year: Thoughts and Predictionsplus-squarethecategoricalimperative.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkThe War in Ukraine Ends This Year: Thoughts and Predictionsplus-squarethecategoricalimperative.substack.comcopaceticMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 6 months agoBetting on the Pope was the original prediction marketplus-squarenodumbideas.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkBetting on the Pope was the original prediction marketplus-squarenodumbideas.comcopaceticMEnglish · 6 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · edit-26 months agoManifolds abandons Sweepstakes and goes pure play-money againplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.siteexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkManifolds abandons Sweepstakes and goes pure play-money againplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.sitecopaceticMEnglish · edit-26 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 7 months agoThe State of Metaculusplus-squarewww.metaculus.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkThe State of Metaculusplus-squarewww.metaculus.comcopaceticMEnglish · 7 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 7 months agoTry The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contestplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkTry The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contestplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comcopaceticMEnglish · 7 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
Lars Trieloff@toot.berlin · 9 months agohttps://asteriskmag.com/issues/08/the-death-and-life-of-prediction-markets-at-google viaplus-squaremessage-squaremessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down11
arrow-up10arrow-down1message-squarehttps://asteriskmag.com/issues/08/the-death-and-life-of-prediction-markets-at-google viaplus-squareLars Trieloff@toot.berlin · 9 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 9 months agoCongrats To Polymarket, But I Still Think They Were Mispricedplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comexternal-linkmessage-square1linkfedilinkarrow-up19arrow-down12
arrow-up17arrow-down1external-linkCongrats To Polymarket, But I Still Think They Were Mispricedplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comcopaceticMEnglish · 9 months agomessage-square1linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 9 months agoThe Death and Life of Prediction Markets at Googleplus-squareasteriskmag.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down11
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkThe Death and Life of Prediction Markets at Googleplus-squareasteriskmag.comcopaceticMEnglish · 9 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 10 months agoMantic Monday: Judgment Dayplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comexternal-linkmessage-square0linkfedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkMantic Monday: Judgment Dayplus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comcopaceticMEnglish · 10 months agomessage-square0linkfedilink
copaceticMEnglish · 10 months agoThe Trump-Betting Whale Speaks Out: ‘I Have Absolutely No Political Agenda’plus-squarewww.wsj.comexternal-linkmessage-square1linkfedilinkarrow-up19arrow-down12
arrow-up17arrow-down1external-linkThe Trump-Betting Whale Speaks Out: ‘I Have Absolutely No Political Agenda’plus-squarewww.wsj.comcopaceticMEnglish · 10 months agomessage-square1linkfedilink
