• ColeSloth
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    11
    ·
    10 months ago

    The math chec…wait, no. That math doesn’t check out at all.

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      edit-2
      10 months ago

      Ok, fine, I’ll do the actual curve fitting instead of just estimating.

      Eyeballing it, were saying 1% in 2013, 2% in 2021, 3% in 2023?

      Gives us a fit of…

      0.873 * exp(0.118 * x)

      So…

      Correct the equation and solve for x

      x_target = np.log(200 / a) / b

      Calculate the actual year

      year_target = 2013 + x_target

      print(year_target)

      In ~2058 everyone will be using two linux desktops at once.

      • ColeSloth
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        10 months ago

        If you don’t think of the increase in speed of new users as continuing to increase exponentially.