• The polls were accurate, but right near the end Yesilgöz made the critical mistake of publicly stating she’d be willing to work with the PVV. This catapulted the PVV to the top, as he was suddenly a viable alternative to VVD/NSC/BBB for a lot of voters.

    We saw this sudden rise in the polls as well, with the PVV suddenly in first right before the election. And that prospect, the PVV being the largest, drew in some more voters to them.

    Polls are projections, but they can’t factor in unforeseen events between the poll and the election.