US big mad

  • SimulatedLiberalism [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    The whole point of the hypersonic missiles is that you cannot intercept them.

    We don’t even have the technology today to intercept (fixed) ballistic missile trajectory at an acceptable rate (the US Patriots had enough problem dealing with Iraqi Scuds made in the 1950s!), and the hypersonic missiles with maneuverable and unpredictable flight paths made them orders of magnitudes harder to intercept.

    The Russian Zircons (hypersonic cruise missile) fly at Mach 8-9, which means if a CVBG can detect flying objects 200km from the horizon, they literally have 72 seconds to react. That’s slightly over a minute to detect, track, calculate intercept paths (they can’t against unpredictable targets), and launch the interceptor missiles with literally no second chance if the first wave fails to hit their target (and they will fail).

    It doesn’t matter how many missiles you can fit into your entire carrier battle group, if the success rate is 1/1000 (and that’s a BIG if), then good luck lol.

    • sooper_dooper_roofer [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      1 year ago

      We don’t even have the technology today to intercept (fixed) ballistic missile trajectory at an acceptable rate

      IIRC the US’ missile interception system has a 40% success rate when the ballistic missile has a known origin and a normal parabolic trajectory

      so yea, that nuke is hitting whether ppl like it or not, even if we went back in time 50 years people would still be able to nuke today’s US, only half as effectively

      • SimulatedLiberalism [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        Even this claim has been called into question.

        From NY Times: Did American Missile Defense Fail in Saudi Arabia?

        Governments have overstated the effectiveness of missile defenses in the past, including against Scuds. During the first Gulf War, the United States claimed a near-perfect record in shooting down Iraqi variants of the Scud. Subsequent analyses found that nearly all the interceptions had failed.

        And going into the second linked article:

        The United States Army has said that its Patriots intercepted about 40 percent of the Scud missiles that Iraq fired at Israel during the war in 1991. That is a far more modest estimate than the one originally given by the military and by the Bush Administration. In the gulf war, former President George Bush once said that the Patriot’s record was nearly perfect.

        But Moshe Arens, who was Israel’s Defense Minister in the gulf war; Gen. Dan Shomron, who was chief of staff of the Israel Defense Force during the war, and Haim Asa, a member of an Israeli technical team that worked with the Patriot missile during the war, say that one or possibly none of the Scuds was intercepted by the Patriots. They appeared in a documentary scheduled to be aired today on Israel television. An advance copy of interviews with the three was made available to The New York Times.

        What had likely happened was that the Patriots intercepted the discarded missile body after it had been separated from the warhead at the terminal phase:

        Check out the NY Times article I linked above.

      • PosadistInevitablity [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        The whole point of hypersonic cruise missiles is that they don’t have a fixed flight path while also moving 10 times the speed of sound.

        Intercepting such a target is physically impossible.

    • zephyreks [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      1 year ago

      What even is the turning radius of an HGV? Sure, you’re not constrained by silly things like pilot blackout and whatever, but that doesn’t mean it can zig zag at will.