The common language concept of AI (i.e. AGI), sure it will one day happen.
This specific avenue of approaching that problem ending up being the one that evolves all the way to AGI, that doesn’t seem at all likely - its speed of improvement has stalled, it’s unable to do logic and it has the infamous hallucinations, so all indications is that it’s yet another dead-end.
Mind you, plenty of dead-ends in this domain ended up being useful - for example the original Neural Networks architectures were good enough for character recognition and enabled things like automated mail sorting - however this bubble on this specific generation of machine learning architectures seems to have been way too disproportionate to how far it has turned out that this generation can go.
The common language concept of AI (i.e. AGI), sure it will one day happen.
This specific avenue of approaching that problem ending up being the one that evolves all the way to AGI, that doesn’t seem at all likely - its speed of improvement has stalled, it’s unable to do logic and it has the infamous hallucinations, so all indications is that it’s yet another dead-end.
Mind you, plenty of dead-ends in this domain ended up being useful - for example the original Neural Networks architectures were good enough for character recognition and enabled things like automated mail sorting - however this bubble on this specific generation of machine learning architectures seems to have been way too disproportionate to how far it has turned out that this generation can go.