The Big Social score so far:
- Twitter: burning
- Reddit: detonated a bomb under itself
- Meta: rumored to join #ActivityPub with a new app
- YouTube: videos were always 2nd to “native” ones on the other networks, but they could trivially open an #ActivityPub firehose (and maintain their preroll ads while doing so)
- rest of Google: never found organic success and don’t have a bet in the game apart from wanting to index everything
No predictions here, just stating the obvious. @fediverse
I don’t see Youtube collapsing any time soon. at least i hope not, i live on it
He’s not saying that YT will collapse. He’s saying that YT joining the fediverse would immediately flood the fediverse with YT videos on every fediverse client (Lemmy, Kbin, Mastodon, Friendica, etc) with ads included (a “firehose”, as he puts it).
Depending on implementation, they could map likes = upvotes, dislikes = downvotes, YouTube comments could be federated too, etc.
Probably a drop in the bucket compared to YT users, but it’d be a relatively quick and easy way of increasing their active userbase.