return2ozma@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 11 months agoDonald Trump's running mate: The four most likely candidateswww.newsweek.comexternal-linkmessage-square8fedilinkarrow-up118arrow-down115
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkDonald Trump's running mate: The four most likely candidateswww.newsweek.comreturn2ozma@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 11 months agomessage-square8fedilink
minus-squarenilloclinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up3·edit-211 months agoKristi Noem The South Dakota governor has long been considered one of the top candidates to be Trump’s pick. According to the latest odds, Noem has a +375 (15/4) chance of becoming Trump’s next running, with an implied probability of 21 percent.
minus-squarequindraco@lemm.eelinkfedilinkarrow-up2·11 months agoThis math is some kind of war crime. 375, 15/4, and 21% are radically different numbers, and only the third one represents a probability or “chance”. 15/4 appears to actually mean her odds are 15 to 4 to lose, as her odds of winning, about 21%, matches up with 4/19, i.e. 4 to 15 odds of winning. And I have no idea what the hell 375 is supposed to mean.
Kristi Noem
This math is some kind of war crime. 375, 15/4, and 21% are radically different numbers, and only the third one represents a probability or “chance”.
15/4 appears to actually mean her odds are 15 to 4 to lose, as her odds of winning, about 21%, matches up with 4/19, i.e. 4 to 15 odds of winning.
And I have no idea what the hell 375 is supposed to mean.