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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • i think there are two different meanings of truth here, and it sounds like one of them might be referring to aletheia. from the wikipedia page:

    Heidegger gave an etymological analysis of aletheia and drew out an understanding of the term as “unconcealedness”.[6] Thus, aletheia is distinct from conceptions of truth understood as statements which accurately describe a state of affairs (correspondence), or statements which fit properly into a system taken as a whole (coherence). Instead, Heidegger focused on the elucidation of how an ontological “world” is disclosed, or opened up, in which things are made intelligible for human beings in the first place, as part of a holistically structured background of meaning.

    edit: just want to say that i agree with the message, and i think it’s true that things don’t have to actually happened in order to be true in some sense. i think the term aletheia can be helpful for making the distinction and wanted to share it for that reason


  • okay so bear with me here.

    i’m going to calculate this using the binomial distribution, where n = number of button presses, and p = 0.99. so, if we let X be a random variable that follows that binomial distribution B(n, 0.99), then X corresponds to how many times we win money after pressing the button n times. (e.g., if we “only” get $10,000,000 after n button presses, then X = 1.)

    in this setup, the probability of getting a billion dollars is given by

    (this is basically just summing up all scenarios in which we get the money outcome at least 100 times.)

    to calculate the chance of getting a billion dollars and becoming a woman, notice that we are guaranteed to be a woman so long as we hit the button fewer than n times. so, the probability of getting a billion dollars and becoming a woman is given by

    to answer your questions, we just need to find the smallest value of n that makes both of the above equations greater than or equal to 0.90. there are probably some clever math tricks that could be utilized to do this, but i just wrote some python code to do it. the values are:

    minimum number of presses for a 90% chance of getting a billion dollars: 102 button presses.

    minimum number of presses for a 90% chance of getting a billion dollars and becoming a woman: 230 button presses.




  • in real life i usually have a pretty deadpan delivery, so i dont laugh at those for the most part. but when texting/posting online, i usually laugh at the funny ones. maybe it has to do with the time in between when i think of the joke and when i tell the joke. in real life, there’s not much time in between for laughter, but typed jokes are a bit more premeditated


  • If you have ADHD or a thing for automation, it is stupidly addictive.

    i have both of those things. i’m a bit scared of what will happen if i buy this game. i still want to play it someday when i have a bit more free time, but it sounds like it’s probably best to wait a bit. its already hard enough to resist the urge to start new civ6 games. thank you for the comparison, it was very helpful.










  • completely agree. i think a lot of people (myself included) will probably never give edge a fair chance because of how insidious and annoying microsoft has been about trying to get people to use it. i don’t really hate edge as a browser (i’ve never really tried it), but i do hate the feeling of the browser being forced upon me