• ColeSloth
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    20 days ago

    Well of course it’s speculation. It doesn’t make it untrue or very unlikely, though. It’s just not a certainty. What is a certainty was that a dozen+ candidates were murdered, but there weren’t any attempts of her or her family.

    • jwt@programming.dev
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      20 days ago

      What is a certainty was that a dozen+ candidates were murdered, but there weren’t any attempts of her or her family.

      This means precisely nothing, as explained by the fallacy mentioned before.

      It doesn’t make it untrue or very unlikely, though

      But you called it ‘probably’ though, which is on the complete other end of the spectrum from ‘very unlikely’… (aside from it being very unlikely to me, if all I have to go on is unrelated events, someone not being dead, and nothing else)