Well, I can imagine that a Polymarket market with over 2 billion dollars in trades is superior to a Metaculus question. Simultaneously Metaculus questions can be better on average. Maybe there is a point where real-money markets become better but it requires a certain amount of liquidity.
Well, I can imagine that a Polymarket market with over 2 billion dollars in trades is superior to a Metaculus question. Simultaneously Metaculus questions can be better on average. Maybe there is a point where real-money markets become better but it requires a certain amount of liquidity.