they are so fucking bad at diplomacy they might genuinely not see it coming. they would be mightly surprised tho

you know how libertarians are all about going against The Man but not because they think that capitalism is fundamentally fucked up, but because they think they should be on top? PiS is a bit like that in relation to russia. they fucking hate russians but they want to, and did when they had opportunity, all the kinds of henious abuses of power like russian government does: complete control of media and constant flood of party propaganda, surveillance and intimidation of opposition, election interference, packing courts and all institutions (including government-owned companies) they can lay their hands on with party loyalists, and also they don’t really like EU since EU objected to all the previous shit, but also because they’re too nationalist for EU (but they like money). in fact the kind of bullshit that republicans pull right now is PiS wet dream, and we’re still dealing with fallout of their previous attempts. they even sent one of their people to trump’s inauguration (Dominik Tarczyński)

i think that current MFA, Radosław Sikorski, put it well (in 2014):

In another part of the leaked conversation, Sikorski was reported to have said: “The Polish-American alliance is worthless. It is even harmful because it creates a false sense of security for Poland.”[68] In the fragment of the record Sikorski said: “We’re going to antagonize Germany and Russia, and they will think that everything is ok because we have given a blowjob to the Americans. Losers. Total losers.” Sikorski stated later that in the actual conversation, he was predicting what Polish foreign policy would look like under a Law and Justice government.[69]

there’s also a part where it’s likely that minister of defense in their govt was a russian plant, or at least had a handler:

In October 2024, a special commission investigating Russian and Belarusian influences in Poland accused Macierewicz of undertaking decisions as defence minister that weakened Poland’s defence capability, including canceling plans to purchase tanker aircraft for the country’s F-16 fighter jet fleet without analysis or consultation, which the commission attributed to Macierewicz’s “personal aversion to partners in the EU”. It also accused him of weakening Poland’s intelligence capabilities by closing down 10 out of the Polish intelligence service’s 15 regional bureaus in 2017

not only they don’t like EU, they also don’t like EU states as a matter of principle and together with gorging republican balls this gives outcomes like disturbingly high % of weapons procurement from americans, even at expense of domestic manufacturers. there was a development of guided MLRS going on for 15+ years, but they gutted it and ordered HIMARS instead, for example