copaceticM to forecastingEnglish · 7 months agoHow a ragtag band of internet friends became the best at forecasting world eventswww.vox.comexternal-linkmessage-square1fedilinkarrow-up15arrow-down10
arrow-up15arrow-down1external-linkHow a ragtag band of internet friends became the best at forecasting world eventswww.vox.comcopaceticM to forecastingEnglish · 7 months agomessage-square1fedilink
minus-squarecopaceticOPMlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·7 months ago Numeric predictions can be graded; they let you know when you’re wrong and how wrong you are. That’s exactly why they’re so scary to make. Yet, you don’t know how scary unless you actually make a bet.
Yet, you don’t know how scary unless you actually make a bet.