forecastingEnglish · 1 year ago

How Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?

news.manifold.markets

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How Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?

news.manifold.markets

forecastingEnglish · 1 year ago

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A politics piece by Jacob "Conflux" Cohen

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1 year ago

The market now gives Biden an 89% chance (up from a brief low of 86% after the Klein article)

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Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Any decision we make is based on a prediction what will happen. Here we study and discuss how to do that well.

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