Given the success of the Good Judgment Project (where I spent some happy years), the book Superforecasting, the US Intelligence Community Prediction Market and the plethora of other projects exploding out of IARPA’s early investment in forecasting research, I am often asked why more firms and organisations haven’t set up their own internal forecasting projects to harness the benefits of these systems to generate useful information about the future, and why the few who did take the plunge have