copaceticM to forecastingEnglish · 1 year agoForecasting Civil Wars in the Modern Worldwww.metaculus.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10file-text
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkForecasting Civil Wars in the Modern Worldwww.metaculus.comcopaceticM to forecastingEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square0fedilinkfile-text
Top 5 from the article: Sudan (97%) Afghanistan (60%) Ethiopia (50%) Burkina Faso (45%) Democratic Republic of the Congo (40%)