Rationalist check-list:
- Incorrect use of analogy? Check.
- Pseudoscientific nonsense used to make your point seem more profound? Check.
- Tortured use of probability estimates? Check.
- Over-long description of a point that could just have easily been made in 1 sentence? Check.
This email by SBF is basically one big malapropism.
It’s as if /r/iamverysmart sat down to write it. So clearly it’s Eliezer self-inserting himself into a children’s book as a Jimmy Neutron wannabe and trying to pass is as a legitimate improvement.