Image is of a Quds Day march in Bandar Abbas, Iran.
It now seems likely that, very soon, the US and the Zionists will attempt to bomb Iran. Compared to the buildup to the Iraq War, the stated goals of such a move are being kept a little more generalized - some say the point is to overthrow the government for “humanitarian” purposes (others are more honest and want to partition Iran into a dozen powerless statelets). Some people instead say the point is to get rid of the ballistic missile program, which is synonymous with outright surrender, as no matter the deal, bombers would be en route within 10 minutes of the last batch being handed over.
Still others say that the goal is to destroy the Iranian nuclear program, which, as the thread title implies, is now in a bizarre propaganda superposition: it is apparently simultaneously true to the Trump administration that the US obliterated the nuclear facilities and set back Iran’s nuclear program years, if not decades, but also that Iran is mere days away from finishing a nuke and a new round of bombing is urgently required. This obviously casts newfound doubts on how effective US weapons even are at penetrating Iran’s underground facilities (though it doesn’t necessarily mean they didn’t breach them, as Iran was almost certainly moving nuclear material out of Fordow and other sites in the days before the Twelve Day War). The sheer quantity of US anti-air defense equipment they’re shifting into position also casts doubts on whether Iran’s air defense was mostly destroyed during that conflict, as those who assert that the Zionists had total air supremacy over Iran seem to be implying.
I’m not a military guy, and so I have no novel insights on how such a war is likely to go, nor do I feel confident predicting either side’s victory. I’m looking at most of the same sources that you’re all looking at. Some confidently boast of the total destruction of Iran’s air defense within hours, allowing US planes to fly directly over Iranian cities and drop bombs en masse; others cast doubts on whether this will ever occur, and say that the US’s limited supply of Tomahawk missiles is the only major firepower they will be able to safely unleash. Some say this war will last mere days before state collapse; others say months, maybe even years. I have no idea.
I do at least feel somewhat bolstered by the fact that Russia and China finally appear to be pouring in meaningful information and matériel to help Iran this time around, though of course, one can still debate whether it’s enough. I feel like we are at the culmination of decades of war planning by both the US and Iran, and the result could have deep ramifications indeed.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
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The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
that’ll do, Feb 23 newsmega, that’ll do
Reply to this post with additional material on how to participate in the anti-war movement.
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Video of a crashing US F-15 that got shot down over Kuwait:
https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/2028335993414127637
Plus a video of the pilot after he parachuted to the ground:
???
Trump says his potential candidates to lead Iran have been killed - ABC
Trump says his picks were killed in the initial Iran attack
Iraqi militias drone strike US forces
Iraqi militia claims drone strike on U.S. forces at Baghdad airport
Saraya Awliya al-Dam, an Iraqi Shiite militia, claimed responsibility for a March 1 drone attack targeting U.S. troops at Baghdad International Airport, calling it retaliation for the killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. There has been no independent confirmation of damage or casualties at the Baghdad airport.
Meanwhile, explosions were reported at Erbil International Airport in northern Iraq. An Anadolu correspondent reported air defense interceptions and a fire breaking out at the airport complex. Iranian state media said a U.S. base in Erbil was targeted with drones and missiles. As of late Sunday, there have been no confirmed U.S. or civilian casualties specifically from the Erbil strikes
Saraya Awliya al-Dam, meaning “Guardians of Blood,” is one of several Shiite armed groups that emerged in Iraq after the 2003 U.S. invasion.
Epstein Coalition plan seems to be to attempt to destroy as much of Iranian civil society as possible.
Full Drop Site Tweet
Photos and video from inside Gandhi Hospital show debris scattered across floors and nurses evacuating newborn infants to safer areas. Images released by Iran’s Health Ministry show at least two children in black body bags inside the facility. An overall casualty toll was not immediately available.
Hossein Kermanpour, the Health Ministry’s chief media official, said missiles struck near Abuzar Hospital in Ahvaz, forcing its evacuation, and later targeted Gandhi Hospital in Tehran. Earlier damage was also reported at the Red Crescent rehabilitation center.
Kermanpour said strikes have hit: ▪️ Abuzar Hospital (Ahvaz) ▪️ Gandhi Hospital (Tehran) ▪️ Khatam Hospital (Tehran) ▪️ Motahari Hospital (Tehran) ▪️ Three emergency bases in Sarab, Chabahar and Hamedan
He said 21 patients, including ICU cases, were transferred by 30 ambulances after the Ahvaz strike, and two EMS personnel were injured.
“For the first time in my life,” Kermanpour said, he witnessed scenes he “never even saw during the Iran–Iraq War.”
F-15 crashes in Kuwait
https://xcancel.com/TheDailySomalia/status/2028088747527377128
BREAKING: Somalia condemns Iran’s retaliatory attacks on Gulf states, excluding the UAE.
The Somali government affirms full support for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Bahrain, and Oman, backing their legal measures to defend sovereignty and protect citizens.
Somalia-UAE relations remain strained after the Israel recognized Somaliland as an independent state. Following this, Somalia withdrew from all agreements with the UAE, including major ports in Berbera and Bosaso, which have yet to be implemented.
Lmao
Two photos from the F-15E that was shot down by it’s own AD over Kuwait:
AmeriKKKan pilot taken prisoner by a guy with a plastic tube or something
Same guy (?) being taken to a SUV.
Given that Kuwait is an US vassal I don’t expect these civilians to outright kill the guy (even though he was assisting “israel” in a genocide). I do expect him to drop him off at the nearby US military base saying “here, take care of your shit next time” and drive off.
It’s giving:
Footage shows the moment an Iranian missile targeted what is said to be a military shelter in Israel
The IDF Arabic spokesperson has essentially issued an evacuation warning for almost every town in Lebanon south of the Litani river. I don’t know what Israel is planning, but it doesn’t sound good. If anyone has family and friends in Lebanon, you probably want to be aware of this.
https://xcancel.com/John_Hudson/status/2028150767626948616
Netanyahu says Trump fulfilled his dreams: In bombing Iran, Israel now has the “assistance of the United States, my friend, US President Donald Trump, and the US military. This coalition of forces allows us to do what I have yearned to do for 40 years”
Can’t get much clearer than this.
From what scuttlebutt has been floating around over the last 6 hours it seems like iran has been taking a pounding. I hope things arent too bad.
With Hezbollah joining the war, we might see escalations from Yemen and maybe even Hamas and the rest of the palestinian resistance factions. Even more, we might see new actions from groups that have kept a lower profile like the PMU in Iraq and maybe those Assadist or anti Zionist groups that have been created in Syria.
This is now on the way to become that worst case scenario regional war that was discussed everywhere.
