How to Predict the Future - Interview of Jason Matheny

www.statecraft.pub

How to Predict the Future - Interview of Jason Matheny

www.statecraft.pub

copaceticM to

forecastingEnglish · 10 months ago

How to Predict the Future

www.statecraft.pub

"We overestimate our ability to keep secrets"

Our interviewee, Jason Matheny, championed research into human judgment and forecasting at the R&D lab for the intelligence community: the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity, or IARPA, which he directed from 2015-2018.

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