• jol
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    9 months ago

    What if its exponential growth?

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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      9 months ago

      What if its exponential growth?

      Then we should expect that in ~35 years, 200% of users will be using desktop linux.

      • ColeSloth
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        9 months ago

        The math chec…wait, no. That math doesn’t check out at all.

        • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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          9 months ago

          Ok, fine, I’ll do the actual curve fitting instead of just estimating.

          Eyeballing it, were saying 1% in 2013, 2% in 2021, 3% in 2023?

          Gives us a fit of…

          0.873 * exp(0.118 * x)

          So…

          Correct the equation and solve for x

          x_target = np.log(200 / a) / b

          Calculate the actual year

          year_target = 2013 + x_target

          print(year_target)

          In ~2058 everyone will be using two linux desktops at once.

          • ColeSloth
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            9 months ago

            If you don’t think of the increase in speed of new users as continuing to increase exponentially.