Image is of the American military during their occupation of Haiti at the beginning of the 20th century, taken from this NYT article from 2022: Invade Haiti, Wall Street Urged. The U.S. Obliged.


In the aftermath of the assassination of Jovenel Moïse in 2021 and his replacement by Western comprador Ariel Henry, the situation in Haiti is the most dire it has been in decades - by some metrics, even worse than the aftermath of the 2010 earthquake (CW: rape, violence including against children). Millions do not have enough food. Outbreaks of disease are rampant. The government - such that it still exists, which is becoming increasingly debatable - has only a minority control over the capital city, with some estimates putting the influence of armed groups at 80%.

America’s search for somebody, anybody, to intervene in Haiti has ended, with Kenya answering the call. President Ruto has announced that he will send 1000 police officers to Haiti. Kenya’s Foreign Minister has tried to sell this intervention as pan-Africanism. Other Caribbean states, like the Bahamas and Antigua and Barbuda, have offered to send police officers too.

I can’t really say it any better than the Black Alliance for Peace’s own statement:

Kenya has offered to deploy a contingent of 1,000 police officers to help train and assist Haitian police, ostensibly to “restore order” in the Caribbean republic. Yet, their proposal is nothing more than military occupation by another name; an occupation of Haiti by an African country is not Pan-Africanism, but Western imperialism in Black face. By agreeing to send troops into Haiti, the Kenyan government is assisting in undermining the sovereignty and self-determination of Haitian people, while serving the neocolonial interests of the United States, the Core Group, and the United Nations.

There is an urgent need for clarity on the issue of occupation in Haiti. As described in a recent statement on Haiti and Colonialism, Haiti is under ongoing occupation. No call for foreign intervention into Haiti from the administration of appointed Prime Minister Ariel Henry can be considered legitimate, because the Henry administration itself is illegitimate. BAP has repeatedly pointed out that Haiti’s crisis is a crisis of imperialism. Haiti’s current unpopular and unelected government is propped up only by Haiti’s de facto imperial rulers: the unseemly confederacy of the Core Group countries and organizations, as well as BINUH (the United Nations Integrated Office in Haiti), and a loose alliance of foreign corporations and local elites.

Henry and the UN have made a mockery of sovereignty by mouthing the slogan “Haitian solutions to Haitian problems,” yet finding the only solution in violence through foreign military intervention. After repeated failed attempts to organize an occupying force to protect their interests and impose their will on the Haitian people (including appeals to the multinational organization, the Caribbean Community [CARICOM] for troops), they have now found a willing accomplice in Kenya, an east African country with its own set of internal problems.

Indeed, what’s in it for Kenya? An opportunity to both train and enhance the salaries of local police forces and garner a patina of prestige, or at least bootlicking approval, from the West. And for Haiti? White blows from a Black hand and a further erosion of their sovereignty.


And, by the way, here’s the Black Alliance for Peace’s statement calling for no intervention by ECOWAS in Niger, calling the organization a Western comprador organization similar to CARICOM’s role in Haiti.


Welcome to our friends throughout the Lemmyverse!

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

This week’s first update is here in the comments.

This week’s second update is here in the comments.

This week’s third update might not happen because I’m busy dunking.

Links and Stuff

The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week’s discussion post.


  • thelastaxolotl [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    Communist Party of Venezuela Statement

    #ALERT We denounce before the Venezuelan people, the Communist and Workers’ Parties, and the genuinely anti-imperialist forces of the world, that the government of Nicolás Maduro has consummated the assault against the Communist Party of Venezuela through an arbitrary judicial sentence that endorses the imposition of a leadership composed of mercenaries at the service of the high government officials of the PSUV.

    This Friday #11August, the magistrates of the Constitutional Chamber of the Supreme Court of Justice incurred in an inexcusable error of law by admitting and deciding in favour of a writ of amparo that was promoted out of time by a group of citizens who do not belong to our ranks and therefore do not have any legal qualification to act on behalf of our organization, in violation of the Organic Law of Constitutional Rights and Guarantees.

    This procedural fraud, which violates the political rights of the PCV and the Venezuelan working people, not only creates a serious precedent in the political and legal history of the country, but also exposes the authoritarian, anti-democratic and reactionary character of the PSUV-Government, which mistakenly believes that it will subdue the Venezuelan communists with this maneuver.

    The National Leadership of the PCV is meeting at this moment, evaluating the legal and political, national and international, actions that it will promote in defense of our right to exist as a Communist Party and to continue fighting for the regrouping of the political, social, workers, peasants and popular forces to conquer a revolutionary solution to the Venezuelan capitalist crisis.

    Nobody destroys the Communist Party!

    fidel-salute

      • thelastaxolotl [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        Maduro is doing the socdem thing and backstabbing the communists who supported him during the embargo

        Venezuela: Maduro’s social democratic regime steps up assault against the Communist Party

        The social democratic government of President Nicolas Maduro, has proceeded to an unacceptable and shameful coup against the Communist Party of Venezuela (PCV), imposing through a judicial sentence a puppet “leadership” composed of mercenaries. This activity comes as a result of an escalating attack orchestrated by the Venezuelan state against the communists and the country’s working class movement.

        • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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          Nothing new. The PCV accuses Chavez/Maduro/PSUV of not being communist (they are not, their party manifesto supports private property). Chavez/Maduro/PSUV attack the PCV. Then the US and right-wing VZ attempt a coup and they agree to unite against the right-wing threat.

          This shit has been going on since Chavez was elected. If I remember correctly, during the general strike against Chavez after the 2002 coup, the PCV, with the support of the government, took over the oil refineries for about 4 months, so during that time the refineries were owned by the workers. But after the VZ bourgeois gave up on the strike, Chavez reverted ownership back to the same people who tried to coup him.

          • CamaradeBoina [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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            That is not true tho.

            The PCV was one of the earliest and staunchest ally of Chavez. Things soured under Maduro when the PCV along several parties to the left of the PSUV made the ARP (a left alliance of revolutionary parties), which prompted faced repeated legal attacks by the Venezuelan state. Several parties in the ARP (like the Tupamaros/MRT) faced similar attacks by the PSUV but it never dared go after the PCV. Now that the situation is a bit eased on the domestic front, the right wing being largely defeated, and now that some sanctions are being lifted, and as the PSUV is making reforms that revert the Bolivarian revolutionary advances, it feels threatened on its left and is now trying to coopt/take over / illegalize the PCV.

            It’s far more serious than previous disagreements IMO, the fact that the PCV is being called trot (lol) or right wing plants by key PSUV members is telling, its gotten real ugly this time.

            • TreadOnMe [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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              Yeah, as a long time Venezuela watcher, I in general, agree with this take, the PSUV has been really doing an internal neoliberalism due to the embargo, in part to get the embargo lifted, and in part because they simply don’t want to or don’t think they have to support the social programs in order to get elected since they are effectively the only game in town since the Guiado attempt. The social program rollbacks have been massively unpopular, but there is really no outlet for it outside of the PCV, but honestly, trying to drive it underground is a huge waste of resources and probably a miscalculation on their part. We’ll see what happens and if they can figure out a way to square it with Cuba, but alienating your only real ally (no matter how weak) in the region is a really bad move.

  • VILenin [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    My favorite genre of post is the one that comes up every 2 hours about how we’re being too mean to the libs

    Reminds me of the old sub where we had to “accommodate YangGang”. They called us authoritarian tankies then and every time we’ve tried “outreach” (peak taking online stuff too seriously). The only way to keep the liberals is to cater to their views, like lemmy.ml did. Before you know it they’ll bring along their lib friends and by month’s end they’ll be running the whole show. This has happened every time a leftist group has let liberals run unchecked.

    Liberals must be confronted at each and every turn unless the decision has been made to sacrifice any semblance of an ideological stance in the name of being a big tent party that preaches the holy virtue of voting blue no matter who.

    But surely this time will be different!

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Ecuador: Zurita to Replace Assassinated Presidential Candidate

    This came after Vice Presidential candidate Andrea Gonzalez-Nader was unable to assume the presidential candidacy due to current legal regulations.

    On Sunday, the Construye movement decided to appoint journalist Christian Zurita as its presidencial candidate, replacing Fernando Villavicencio, who was assassinated.

    This came after Vice Presidential candidate Andrea Gonzalez-Nader was unable to assume the presidential candidacy due to current legal regulations.

    “The candidate we have chosen in agreement with Construye is Christian Zurita, a fellow warrior in the struggle alongside Fernando Villavicencio,” stated Gonzalez-Nader.

    Earlier on Saturday, the Construye movement had chosen Gonzalez-Nader as its presidential candidate. However, such a decision was revoked due to concerns that the National Electoral Council (CNE) might not accept her candidacy since she had already been registered as a vice-presidential candidate.

    “We could not allow, under any circumstances, Fernando’s absence to fade away after his heinous and vile murder,” Zurita expressed during a press conference where he and Gonzalez-Nader wore bulletproof vests and were protected by a heavy police presence.

    “His ideas remain entirely intact… We will strive to replicate his capability and honor his name,” declared the Ecuadorian journalist who had worked alongside Villavicencio for 15 years.

    On Sunday night, the first and only presidential debate prior to the August 20 elections will take place. The Construye movement will not participate in the debate and will leave an empty seat in memory of Villavicencio.

    This right-wing politician, who became famous for denouncing links between the police and drug trafficking, was killed by gunmen after a rally held in Quito on Wednesday.

    Currently, opinion polls indicate that victory in the upcoming presidential elections is likely to be secured by Luisa Gonzalez, the candidate of the Citizen Revolution (RC), the progressive movement led by former President Rafael Correa (2007-2017).

    This Zurita guys seems to be just some random right-wing, liberal journalist.

    • emizeko [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      Earlier on Saturday, the Construye movement had chosen Gonzalez-Nader as its presidential candidate. However, such a decision was revoked due to concerns that the National Electoral Council (CNE) might not accept her candidacy since she had already been registered as a vice-presidential candidate.

      this excuse sounds like bullshit. the guy was fucking assassinated

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Germany is debating whether to ban the far-Right Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the party surges to 21 per cent in the polls, amid warnings from intelligence officials that its members are becoming increasingly extreme

    In a rare move, the respected Der Spiegel news magazine weighed into the debate with a leader titled: “Ban the enemies of the constitution!” It warned that “the AfD has become more and more radicalised. It’s time to defend democracy with better weapons”.

    The co-leader of Olaf Scholz’s ruling Social Democrats also said a ban should be considered if the AfD is categorised as a group of “proven Right-wing extremists” by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution.

    They are only doing this because the US is afraid Germany will elect a government that is against NATO and Ukraine. Tbh, I hope the AfD gets banned, screw them, even if the reason for it is cringe. And I wonder if this will have an impact on other countries.

    • FortifiedAttack [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      I can’t even begin to express just how bad of an idea banning the AfD would be at this point. It reeks of desperation, and would instantly galvanize their supporters.

      Like, if you really wanted to ban a political party, the correct time to do so would be before they’ve reached a critical mass of support, ideally when they are at lower than 5% of the votes.

      But when they get more than 20% of the vote, becoming the second-largest party with the largest at 26%? Forget it. Not only would they be demonstrating just how little their precious Democracy actually matters to them (thus disspelling the illusion of liberal democracy), it would also tell AfD voters that they are on the right track and should keep holding on to their ideas, as they scare the ruling neoliberals who are currently running the country into the ground.

      A coup attempt is practically guaranteed at that point, since you leave them no other option. And it just so happens that Europe is currently aflush with black-market weaponry from a certain conflict to the east…

      It really just is another massive neoliberal failure. First you tolerate the far right for more than a decade, then when they suddenly gain massive support, only then do you want to get rid of them? The actual solution in this situation is to abandon neoliberalism and offer the people policies that would actually make them want to vote for you.

    • I mean I hope they get destroyed, but this might cause more harm. It will definitely feed into the victim mindset of the afd voters, the greens will get the “we are shield against the right, the antifascist aegis” thing they are trying to make happen and this will definitely used by any left party (the potential Wangenknecht party for example).

    • BynarsAreOk [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      Imagining Germany eventually becoming the “right wing” vs “left wing” party and then watching smug EU sucdems try to argue they’re still more “democratic” than the US.

      • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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        True. Far-right politicians are liars by nature. They do not stay true to their own coherent ideology. Many of them are anti-American until they get into power, then they sell out everything they can to please the Americans. They are usually removed from power when they are no longer useful to US interests, like Fujimori and Bolsonaro.

  • Teekeeus [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    Caroline Kennedy Says US Open to Assange Plea Deal

    The U.S. ambassador to Australia believes a plea bargain could free imprisoned WikiLeaks publisher Julian Assange, allowing him to serve a shortened sentence for a lesser crime in his home country.

    Caroline Kennedy told The Sydney Morning Herald in a front-page interview published Monday that the decision on a plea deal was up to the U.S. Justice Department. “So it’s not really a diplomatic issue, but I think that there absolutely could be a resolution,” she told the newspaper.

    Kennedy noted the firm comments by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on July 31 in Brisbane that,

    “Mr. Assange was charged with very serious criminal conduct in the United States in connection with his alleged role in one of the largest compromises of classified information in the history of our country. … So I say that only because just as we understand sensitivities here, it’s important that our friends understand sensitivities in the United States.”

    Despite Blinken’s strong words, Kennedy said: “But there is a way to resolve it. You can read the [newspapers] just like I can.”

    Gabriel Shipton, Assange’s brother, told the Herald: “Caroline Kennedy wouldn’t be saying these things if they didn’t want a way out. The Americans want this off their plate.”

    The newspaper said there could be a “David Hicks-style plea bargain,” a so-called Alford Plea, in which Assange would continue to state his innocence while accepting a lesser charge that would allow him to serve additional time in Australia. The four years Assange has already served on remand at London’s maximum security Belmarsh Prison could perhaps be taken into account.

    David Hicks was an Australian imprisoned by the United States in Guantanamo for five years. He was ultimately released by the U.S., after pressure from the Australian government, when he agreed to an Alford Plea, in which he pled guilty to a single charge, but was allowed to assert his innocence at the same time on the grounds that he understood he would not receive a fair trial.

    Hicks was returned to Australia where he served an additional seven months in prison. His case was then thrown out on appeal when it was established that the charge of giving “material assistance to terrorists” was not yet a crime on the books at the time of his arrest.

    The Herald quoted Don Rothwell, an international law expert at Australian National University in Canberra, as saying that Assange would have to travel to the U.S. in order to work out the plea deal.

    “Everything we know about Julian Assange suggests this would be a significant sticking point for him,” Rothwell said. “It’s not possible to strike a plea deal outside the relevant jurisdiction except in the most exceptional circumstances.”

    However, Bruce Afran, a U.S. constitutional attorney, told Consortium News‘ CN Live! webcast in May that it would indeed be possible for Assange to remain in Britain to work out the deal.

    “Usually American courts don’t act unless a defendant is inside that district and shows up to the court,” Afran said. “However, there’s nothing strictly prohibiting it either. And in a given instance, a plea could be taken internationally. I don’t think there’s anything wrong with that. It’s not barred by any any laws. If all parties consent to it, then the court has jurisdiction.”

    Afran said that after seven years in the Ecuadorian embassy in London and four years in Belmarsh, Assange “obviously would have a fear of coming to the U.S. And our prison system is often known for rough treatment in terms of management units and solitary confinement.”

    Afran said it was understandable that Assange would not trust the U.S. to follow through on a deal if he went to America. “The U.S. sometimes finds ways to get around these agreements,” Afran said. “The better approach would be that he pleads while in the U.K., we resolve the sentence by either an additional sentence of seven months, such as David Hicks had or a year to be served in the U.K. or in Australia or time served.”

    Shipton told the Herald that his brother going to the U.S. was a “non-starter.” He said: “Julian cannot go to the US under any circumstances.”

    Afran said Assange would not necessarily have to plead to an espionage or computer intrusion offense. “He could plead simply to mishandling official information or even, in the worst case scenario, conspiracy to mishandle official information, a far lesser charge,” he said.

    “That would also resolve the case and probably give the U.S. its satisfaction and would allow Julian essentially to hold his head up high after all these years,” said Afran.

    Afran also said that Assange’s side could initiate the plea offer.

    On May 22, two days before President Joe Biden was due to visit Australia on a trip he then canceled, Assange lawyer Jennifer Robinson said for the first time on behalf of Assange’s legal team that they would consider a plea deal.

    Robinson told the National Press Club in Canberra:

    “We are considering all options. The difficulty is our primary position is, of course that the case ought to be dropped. We say no crime has been committed and the facts of the case don’t disclose a crime. So what is it that Julian would be pleading to?”

    Assange remains in Belmarsh awaiting a final, 30-minute hearing before the High Court of England Wales, which is on summer recess until Oct. 1. Assange’s lawyers will attempt to reverse a decision by the High Court not to hear his appeal against the home secretary’s extradition order and against most of the lower court’s ruling in his extradition case.

    That court in January 2021 ordered Assange released on health grounds and the conditions of U.S. prisons but sided with the U.S. on every other point of law. The U.S. thenwon its appeal before the High Court, which overturned the order to release Assange.

    Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is due to visit President Joe Biden at the White House at the end of October at which time Assange supporters may hope that an arrangement to send Assange to Australia could be finalized.

    But the High Court could convene before that. If it rejects Assange’s final appeal, he could be put on a plane to Alexandria, VA where he faces up to 175 years in a U.S. dungeon for publishing accurate information about U.S. war crimes and corruption.

    doubt

  • BeamBrain [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    I’m at my parents’ and the TV is playing a copaganda show about game wardens helping hunt down illegal immigrants at the Mexican border

    They name dropped MS-13

    Americans think they aren’t propagandized lmao

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Ecuador’s left-wing president candidate Luisa Gonzalez unequivocally condemns the assassination of candidate Fernando Villavicencio, who was killed at a campaign event today, just 11 days ahead of the election.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    The FBI and US intel will arrive in Ecuador 🇪🇨 in the coming hours, says Guillermo Lasso. fedposting

    The US-backed president says he “requested support from the FBI” following yesterday’s assassination of presidential candidate Fernando Villavicencio.

      • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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        The right-wing in South America can’t even hold their shit together. They’re not even hiding that they’re just US-backed regimes. Lasso is doing the same thing Dina Boluarte is doing in Peru.

  • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]@hexbear.netOPM
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    West is paranoid about BRICS Summit

    I’ll probably re-post this in the new thread when it goes up on Monday, but worthy of discussion.

    Basically, there have been rumors floating around that India is unhappy with the proposed expansion of BRICS and that Modi might not go to the summit in person. The South African foreign minister is in contact with India’s and neither of them know what these rumors are talking about, and think that people (the West) are spreading rumors to try and spoil the summit. That, and articles in Bloomberg and others that focus on India and China having interests that are too dissimilar for co-operation. While the animosity between the two countries shouldn’t be understated - Modi very obviously has a different vision of the future to Xi - it also shouldn’t be overstated (there are areas, like BRICS expansion, where their interests can converge, and Russia is a good man in the middle for them).

    In short: America is afraid.

    • CamaradeBoina [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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      The replies in the tweet are sufficient to tell you this is a super weird and nonsensical lie by Ben. It’s kind of staggering he’d pull such anti-communist nonsense. His second tweet is even wilder because he basically attacks the enormous majority of the IMCWP and their positions on all the issues he names. He straight up made it all up.

      As to the PCV, it NEVER did a “swing to the right” it NEVER allied with the Venezuelan right wing either. Norton very conveniently also does a HUGE euphemism on “its leadership being changed”: what is actually happening is the PSUV through the judicial authorities of the country are rendering the party illegal, calling the leadership undemocratic and unaccountable, and basically stealing the party legal entity by putting in charge PSUV militants mislabelled as “aggrieved PCV members”. The IMCWP has signed multiple declarations of solidarity with the PCV over the past months also.

      Also hello hexbear this is my first post lmao

    • thelastaxolotl [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      https://hexbear.net/comment/3317782

      not accurate at all

      in short, since venezuela is in a decent spot with no longer being under constant US agression and the right hasnt been able to work as an united opposition the PSUV has decided to crack down on its only rival party being the PCV mostly because they backed a labour protest demanding better wages since the eliminations of some US sanctions.

      its the old story of socdems backstabbing their communist allies

      you can tell norton has never been an actual socialist with his view of AMLO, just vibes

        • thelastaxolotl [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          yea, denoucing the KKE (who is recognized by the CPC as the legal communist party of greece) for not being pro-china, and thinking AMLO isnt working for the national bourgeois of mexico shows he was never an actual socialist in the first place just some anti-american socdem

          and now he is supporting the crackdown of actual socialists in venezuela, he is no different from the Social democrats of old who supported the freikorps against the communists

  • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    It’s election night in Argentina, primaries, and the ancap candidate is set to be “the surprise” (this is not surprising at all, considering liberals and conservatives alike have been pushing his name up like crazy).

    Come to Argentina, there are very diverse candidates! We have:

    THE FASCIST

    THE FASCIST

    THE NEOLIBERAL

    THE NEOLIBERAL

    THE FASCIST

    THE TROT heart-sickle

    THE FASCIST

    And while primaries are… primaries, they don’t often show what the real tendencies are. Still, the ancaps are gaining momentum and it is unknown where they will end in the generals by October. Let us hope a meteor hits this country but miraculously only kills the fascists. Either way, depending on the results, I might ditch this god-forsaken country and move elsewhere. I was offered a home in Spain, which is not perfect because well, fascism, but at least I can make a decent living there and don’t have to deal with 100% annual inflation rates and fucking ancaps running the government.

    I voted for the Trots, like I always do. As for the election itself it was pretty bad, long lines of people to vote and the system was mixed at least in Buenos Aires – paper ballot for president and national lower chamber, electronic ballot for city-related government positions, so you kinda voted twice in a day. And the electronic voting machines were not perfect and many people complained about issues, the process was slow and older people struggled.

    I’ll throw some updates here and there. Death to Fascism.

    • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      68% of the votes counted and the ancap got 5 million votes, currently sitting first with 31%. I certainly wasn’t expecting any of this, I actually expected this guy to flop because his campaign has been in a bit of a crisis lately, but it seems that his sole figure is enough to get at least 5 million people to vote for him. Pure insanity. We will become the first Ancapistan, incredible, this country is fucking incredible.

      Now I don’t know if he’s actually going to win, there’s a lot to play here. His candidates for the Chamber of Deputies (lower chamber) are having a very good election but for the Senate, not so much. The main opposition party (Juntos por el Cambio) has two candidates fighting internally, Patricia Bullrich (the pro-cop homeless killer candidate) has won. So, this election will be most likely decided between two fascists, like holy fuck this is insane.

      Peronism, as expected, failed hard. The presidency of Alberto Fernandez has been a disaster, a series of terrible economic reforms, a crushing national debt, IMF loans and public scandals (mismanaged the pandemic response, plus they were seen partying and gifting vaccines as the country was in lockdown, kinda like Boris Johnson) sealed any chance he had at a second term. Current Super Minister Sergio Massa stands no chance in my opinion, he is hated by Kirchernists and Peronists alike, terrible choice of a candidate. As for the Trots, we got 2% of the votes, pretty bad considering the good job they’ve been doing in the lower chamber and in organizing strikes and such.

      Fifteen years ago we were talking with Lula, Chávez and Fidel about building a common front, now we’re falling into fascism. Bleak future, I know the ancaps are winning because this is “a message to the political caste”, but it’s heavily worrying, that movement openly praises the military dictatorship of the 70s and the neoliberals of the 90s.

      Okay well, at least I have family in Spain who are willing to take me in… and I am eligible for citizenship.

      • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        Fifteen years ago we were talking with Lula, Chávez and Fidel about building a common front, now we’re falling into fascism. Bleak future

        Argentina will elect its own (perhaps less religious) Bolsonaro. I’m very sorry but I doubt Argentina will recover from a government like Milei’s (at least Lula dissolved all Bolsonaro’s reforms on day one and started using his connections to attract Chinese and American investment), the guy will become like De La Rua and run away when the shit starts (Again, just like Bolsonaro).

        • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          1 year ago

          Juntos por el Cambio is picking up some steam but it wont be enough to catch up Milei at least on the presidential ballot. The issue is that Milei has shown everyone that he can win just by himself, that’ll make a lot of political parties around the country to seek an alliance, which will give him the access to Senate seats and he can actually win governor positions in the provinces. It’s insane, Milei outflanked the left by using a left-wing rethoric, the “anti-political caste” belongs to the left, this guy just took it and used it to further advance capitalism into the country.

          A Milei presidency will be an absolute disaster, Ancap ideals are self destruction. But on the other hand, I still firmly believe Communism will ultimately be victorious.

          • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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            1 year ago

            It’s insane, Milei outflanked the left by using a left-wing rethoric, the “anti-political caste” belongs to the left, this guy just took it and used it to further advance capitalism into the country.

            Lol, Bolsonaro did the same thing. These people, be it Bolsonaro, Fujimori, Camacho or the guy from Uruguay who keeps losing, say they are “anti-politics”, “old politics” or whatever. The funny thing is that these people have usually been in politics for years, if not decades. I doubt Milei will do much of what he promised, he might not even get to finish his government if he actually tries his ancap crap ideas.

            The only way I see him governing is by becoming just another ghoul pushing the same garbage right-wing policies Macri did, while stealing a bunch of public funds for himself and his family, like Bolsonaro. And then in 2027 they will elect Kirchner or some socdem again. But who knows, I saw some news that he is being investigated for selling political offices before the elections or something like that. It will be very funny to see the Mercosur meeting between Milei and Lula.

            • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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              1 year ago

              The funny thing is that these people have usually been in politics for years, if not decades.

              Well, Milei is like Trump in the sense that they’re not career politicians, so he can easily play like the “outsider” role candidate. However, like Trump said “drain the swamp”, he immediately became the swamp as he gained power within the Republican Party, Milei is doing the same. He’s “anti-political caste”, and the moment he had to build an electoral party, he allied with a shitton of career politicians. But in the end Milei, like Trump, are no true outsiders, nor they have “revolutionary” ideals. They’re the establishment, the capital establishment, the one that doesn’t get mentioned because well, Capitalism. Their supporters get really mad once you tell them that whatever they’re trying to do is recycled capitalist garbage sold as new and innovative.

              I saw some news that he is being investigated for selling political offices before the elections or something like that

              Yes, their party sold vacant places in their tickets for cash, because they are like that. There were also a big number of sexual abuse cases within the party, because of course these people hate women.

              The issue is that Milei held conversations with Bullrich not long ago, they even considered going together on a single ticket. Milei is kinda hostile to Juntos por el Cambio but he likes Bullrich due to her “strong stance” against crime and narcos (which means militarized police and restricted civil liberties, in disguise), so I wouldn’t be surprised if they reach an actual agreement towards the generals in October, Bullrich can provide Milei with what he needs and Milei can provide Bullrich with a lot of young white ass cringe libertarians who think we should nuke the Central Bank or something.

              With 96% of the votes counted, Milei reached 7 million votes. Barely 600k for the Trots and 1.3 million for Grabois, the christian leftist, who with every day that passes I’m more and more convinced he was allowed to run to suck off votes that would otherwise go to the Trots (not all of them, but a big part indeed).

              Milei wins because something in our society is very rotten. While they can fuck off, some of the stuff they say is actually true. No, we shouldn’t nuke the Central Bank or the Ministry of Health or Social Development, but when they complain about insanely high taxes, they’re right. They see it from a crap perspective, yes, but the core of the problem persists, taxes are TOO high, and they are paid by common people. I believe, of course, taxes should be raised for the wealthy (something Milei of course is against) and significantly lowered for us, the fucking proles, but they can sense a problem, the problem is they’re fucking capitalism bootlickers and they fail to see what causes it. They believe taxation is Communism, fuck me. Also if this motherfucker gets to do what he wants, I can kiss my beloved University of Buenos Aires good bye and my career as an historian will die overnight.

    • Ideology [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      1 year ago

      I saw an article that increased trade in yuan was stabilizing things to some extent, and this was one of Massa’s ideas. Earlier this year, Fernandez was also reportedly hoping the gas pipeline from southern patagonia would help balance the budget when it came online. So it seems like this is just too little too late? Future Chinese investment in Argentina and its bid to join BRICS are likely going to evaporate if Millei wins, and from my very basic understanding that would weaken South America to US influence.