Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.


We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the “Gaza Metro” and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I’ve seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.

The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from “very limited” - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah’s fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.

Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad’s recent suggestion of using “quasi-state actor” as a more respectful replacement for the typical “non-state actor” seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah’s path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah’s supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week’s thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    Milei vetoes university funding increase hours after massive march

    The opposition is expected to call for a session in Congress to try and overturn it

    President Javier Milei finally vetoed the bill that had granted a funding increase for public universities. The president went through with the measure just a few hours after the massive march on Wednesday protested this decision in cities across Argentina. The President’s Office account on X confirmed Milei would overturn the bill before the decree including the veto was published in the Official Gazette shortly after midnight on Thursday.

    The decree states that the decision was made because the bill “clearly violated the current legal framework” and did not consider the measure’s fiscal impact nor specify where the money would come from. It added that compliance would have made Argentina’s fiscal sustainability “considerably more difficult” as it claimed that an “extraordinary and unforeseen funding source would be needed” to finance the raise. The communiqué published on X called the funding increase law “irresponsible” and said Milei would veto it as well as any other bill that did not specify funding sources and jeopardized fiscal balance.

    It’s literally less than 1% of the GDP or something like that lmfao. However, when it comes to buying submarines from France or armored vehicles from the US, there’s a sudden need to stop talking about fiscal balance…

    “It is time for lawmakers to understand that they cannot do demagogic populism with taxpayers’ money, and start acting with the responsibility that this moment demands,” the release said. “The proper place to discuss university funding is during the 2025 National Budget debate.”

    Despite the veto and its harsh rhetoric, the government said it has a “commitment with public universities.”

    “This administration will not give in to the media show, irresponsible bills and the manipulation of a noble cause for partisan means,” they added. “The government’s goal is clear: end the impoverishing model that has been in place for the last 100 years and make Argentina great again.”

    Yes. They used the “Make Argentina Great Again” slogan. They’re completely out of this place, they just look upon the US and cream their pants over it. It’s pathetic, truly truly pathetic. They’re alien to our society and to our culture, which is why they’ll end up being destroyed one after another. They can’t even come up with something original for once, so much for innovation under capitalism…

    On Thursday, opposition deputies are expected to request a special session to debate the veto on Wednesday, October 9. Congress can reject a presidential veto only if two thirds of lawmakers from both the Lower and Upper House vote to overturn it. If those conditions are not met, the veto will remain in place. This is the second time Milei has used the veto power since he became president. The first time was in early September, when he overturned a pension increase.

    In mid-September, Argentina’s Senate passed legislation securing all university personnel bimonthly budget increases and monthly pay rises for university personnel indexed to inflation. Less than 24 hours later, Milei said he would block it, but waited until the second university march of the year was carried out to comply with his promise.

    Same decision, different story?

    Three weeks ago, Milei secured a major victory when the Lower House voted to uphold his presidential veto overturning a pension increase that had been approved by both chambers. Even though most deputies voted to reject the president’s decision, it wasn’t enough to reach two thirds.

    Crucial in that case were five deputies who had initially backed — and even promoted — the bill but ended up changing their stance after meeting with Milei. The five are members of the centrist bloc Unión Cívica Radical (UCR) and four of them were sanctioned by the party for going against the position held by the majority of their bloc mates.

    (We will remember their names for when our time comes)

    However, things may be different this time. Assuming all deputies attend the voting session, the government needs at least 86 votes to uphold the veto. In the August 15 session, the university funding bill was approved 143 to 77 — one abstention — as 35 deputies were absent. All eyes will now be on those who did not attend last time, as most of them are members of the opposition. The government would need the backing of 9 additional lawmakers to reach 86. As of now, the numbers don’t add up for Milei.

    The UCR will request the session with the backing of almost the entire bloc, a source from the party confirmed to the Herald. Three of the five deputies that met with Milei — Martín Arjol, Pablo Cervi and Federico Tournier — may not back the veto. They had voted for the university funding bill, and have close ties with the rectors of their respective provinces. “The government doesn’t have it easy,” the UCR source said. Luis Picat and Mariano Campero, the other two, will likely vote for the veto to remain in place. They were both absent at the time of voting during the session, “and will surely do that again.”

    Almost all the votes against the bill in the Lower House were from ruling coalition La Libertad Avanza (LLA) and right-wing bloc PRO, Milei’s main ally in Congress. PRO has not made any statements on their vote so far, and a lawmaker from the bloc told the Herald their position is not defined yet. “It all depends on PRO,” said a LLA source, who added that there may be clashing opinions within their ally party.

    we literally depend on neoliberals lmfao

    Anyways, I went to the march carrying my Palestinian flag because there is ONE BIG STRUGGLE and all well-meaning struggles are part of it. Overall it was a good experience, lots of people but it was better organized than the last one, meaning that if you needed to get out for whatever reason, the sidewalks were mostly available for you to use. I went with some of my university friends, that’s the way to go. One of our Spanish History professors was seen carrying a flag with the Hispanic Visigoth Cross lmfao, just shit you get to see in marches. They’re beautiful, I can’t stress that enough. I love them, the drums, the people, the flags, everything about it is awesome. Some individuals shouldn’t have been there but it’s a big march anyways.

    Here’s a neat picture of the massive size. Lots of people are left out of the picture because they’re marching in the streets around the Congress, unseen due to the buildings.

    Meanwhile milei and his party hosted a rally in a park and they couldn’t fill it. They don’t have this power of mobilization and we must use it to our advantage.

      • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        3 months ago

        Trots are doing fine I think. They’re doing groundwork, assisting in organizing the protests and also articulating with workers that are currently on the verge of becoming unemployed (namely state workers and hospital staff, who are now in great danger) while also using their five seats in Congress to gain further visibility. Their big goal going forward is to take control of the unions, or at least wrestle them out of peronist control and put it under complete worker’s management. This is a key aspect of their strategy, it’s a bit ambitious right now because the power balance is not there yet, however times are moving fast and everything around us going to shit, plus peronism is in a bit of an internal crisis and this might be a good opportunity for us in the left to dislodge them from positions of power. Trots do need to get their shit together because they sometimes expose their internal conflicts too much and fail to solve them in an efficient manner. But I think they’re in a transition too, the newer PTS party is growing and displacing the more traditional trot party, the Partido Obrero.

        As for other communists, they’re either disciplined by peronism or too marginal to be of any significance. “Mainstream” Communist parties like the Partido Comunista and the Partido Comunista Revolucionario are all integrated on peronism structures and too useless to do anything, kinda like the CPUSA, too friendly with capital.

          • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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            3 months ago

            They’re not thaaat bad, at least not in here. I’m far from being a trot but I’d take them over other supposed “communists” who think they are doing the revolution but all the do is comply with the peronists. Hm, maybe trots in the imperial core have indeed huge issues but down here they’re not awful, perhaps being in the global south while doing militancy shapes you in a different way. They do have problems that they need to fix quickly, but that’s on them.