AfD is far behind the CDU at a national level, and if the center left vote was united they would also be comfortably behind that hypothetical coalition. The problem is that with current opinion polls the government would probably need to be an equally unstable coalition between CDU, SPD, and Greens.
Were do you get your polls. Current average would be easily enough for CDU and SPD or Greens. So a two party coalition, which would probably work rather well. https://dawum.de/Bundestag/
It really depends on the poll( https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/ ) depending on which poll you take its very likely a close call if CDU and SPD can form a coalition. However I think its quite unlikely they would take the greens after everything the CDU said about them.
No, it is not. 5% hurdle means Linke, FDP and the other small parties will not get seats. In some polls they have combined 16% of the vote. So the coalition does not need 50% of the vote, but a bit less then 45%.
AfD is far behind the CDU at a national level, and if the center left vote was united they would also be comfortably behind that hypothetical coalition. The problem is that with current opinion polls the government would probably need to be an equally unstable coalition between CDU, SPD, and Greens.
Were do you get your polls. Current average would be easily enough for CDU and SPD or Greens. So a two party coalition, which would probably work rather well. https://dawum.de/Bundestag/
It really depends on the poll( https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/ ) depending on which poll you take its very likely a close call if CDU and SPD can form a coalition. However I think its quite unlikely they would take the greens after everything the CDU said about them.
No, it is not. 5% hurdle means Linke, FDP and the other small parties will not get seats. In some polls they have combined 16% of the vote. So the coalition does not need 50% of the vote, but a bit less then 45%.
Currently I think its much more likely that the CDU will form a coalition with SPD and BSW than with the greens.