Are there any specifics as to what the major disagreement was on, or has been in the past? All the article has is:

The coalition leaders meeting was widely reported as a “make or break” meeting for the coalition, with Lindner, in particular, having hinted in the run-up that he was not too worried about the latter.

In his reaction to Scholz’s scathing remarks, Lindner accused the chancellor of a “calaculated break-up of the coalition” and his coaliton partners of “not even accepting” the FDP’s proposals for turning the economy around “as a basis for discussion”. Discord about how to revive an ailing economy

The coalition had been at odds for a while, with serious strains on the budget for 2025 and a disappointing performance by the German economy eliciting increasingly different suggestions on how to face and solve the problems.

So I’m assuming that Lindner wants more-economically-liberal policy than Scholz does?

Is there reason to believe that there’s sufficient public support in elections to form a red-green coalition, or is it likely that the SDP and Greens would be out of government in a new election?

kagis

https://theweek.com/politics/german-economy-crisis-volkswagen

A snap election could be “disastrous for all three coalition parties,” said Reuters. SDP and the Greens have lost support since the 2021 election, and the FDP “could be ejected from parliament altogether.” But the dispute involves fundamental differences: FDP wants budget cuts, while the other two parties “agree that targeted government spending is needed to stimulate the economy,” Reuters said.

That doesn’t sound very good for them.

If they’re out, and the AfD has been at record-high levels of support, does that mean maybe an incoming AfD government?

Nah, he was way more furious when Macron hinted that European leaders should consider sending troops to Ukraine.

Hindsight is always 20/20 but I still think it could have worked. Greens and liberals aren’t natural enemies, climate reforms can be done via methods from the free market. A proper carbon certificate trade is still something I think could work wonders if done right and redistributing the acquired money to all citizens would have been in line with the social considerations of the SPD. This should have been the project of the traffic light coalition. Now we all now the liberals are a bunch of lying, opportunistic fucks, okay, but it could have worked if only they had tried.

At that point you wouldn’t need to form the coalition in the first place. They tried, that’s fair. But they should’ve stopped this much sooner. I bet all the leaks back then were also all from Lindner. He and the FDP acted way too entitled for being the smallest coalition partner.

It was worth a try and could have worked well under different circumstances.