• Wertheimer [any]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    If Harris wins, political violence is certain in this country . . . because she’s a cop who has promised to close the border and will continue with the genocide.

  • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    jetski dealership owners and landlords are pretty motivated to not do insurrections, nobody buys skidoos when there’s shooting the in streets and rent does not get paid on time

  • john_browns_beard [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    The overwhelming majority of conservatives pledging political violence if Trump loses are not actually going to do anything about it. People who live relatively comfortable lives are not going to risk it all because they are afraid of trans people and immigration, deep down they know that those issues don’t actually affect them personally so they’ll keep putting on a show about it. They know they will endure another Democrat presidency just fine.

    I personally think that the January 6th arrests will prove to be a strong deterrent for everyone except the most exceptionally brainwormed individuals, and the FBI is probably keeping tabs on those folks already. We will see a temporary increase in Proud Boy-esque action and it will return to baseline levels within a month of inauguration.

  • TerminalEncounter [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    People are torqued up, people are willing to kill one another (I mean they already have), but no one wants to die for anything in America. Or suffer dysentery. If you’re a chud, is it really worth giving up the lifted truck for slumming it in the woods and getting some weird disease like legionairres foot? So you can, what, shoot a black person or a queer person??

    I don’t think they could survive contact with military curfew where they can’t just go to the city hall and complain and push a few people around like they did for mask mandates. I don’t think any of these people have really thought through what a civil war or even just some heightened low grade warfare tensions (like The Troubles) would mean.

    • TemutheeChallahmet [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      5 months ago

      I have been thinking about how much Republican causes nowadays are just vapor, because they stemmed from thoroughly isolated echo chambers pumping partial info. It is hard to translate into any consequential action because it too easily peters out from a public challenge.

  • JohnBrownsBussy2 [she/her, they/them]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    The example of white nationalist riots in the UK does have me worried, but the US doesn’t have the same urbanized white underclass that the UK has. The US certainly has a lot of reactionaries, but they’re either dispersed in rural areas or dispersed in the suburbs. They can’t easily be cajoled into spontaneous violence.

    • TerminalEncounter [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      5 months ago

      The few times proud boys have shown up, they break down pretty quickly when confronted with organized counter protest/regular protest - unless the cops are on their side, but then that’s just the cops

      • JohnBrownsBussy2 [she/her, they/them]@hexbear.net
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        5 months ago

        The reliance on personal transportation to get from A to B changes the class character, and thus actions, of unrest and dissidents in the US. Compare the various actions during 2020, the urban-based George Floyd uprisings, and the right-wing anti-lockdown and Stop-the-Steal movements. Raising the barrier to entry by adding an hour-plus driving time, and more importantly risking your own car getting damaged, limits who’s attending demonstrations and limits their tenor. Obviously, you have events like Charlottesville and January 6th, but those were pre-planned events put together by an array of right-wing organizations working in relative concert. There may be a lot of angry racists in the American exurbs, but there’s a limited number of far-right ideologues who are going to invest the time and personal risk.

  • EmoThugInMyPhase [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    They’ll continue to harass public events like school meetings and complain about rainbows and threaten to kill random kids’ parents at Target and organize Rorschach Klan rallies.

  • Owl [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    Win or lose, they’ll totally do something like Jan 6th or the Charlottesville rally, both of which caused fewer deaths than some school shootings, which we apparently just treat as a normal fact of life these days, so, like, whatever.

    • Philosoraptor [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      5 months ago

      Especially if he does in fact lose. These people are all about aesthetics, and very few of them are going throw down for an octogenarian two-time loser who doesn’t even really represent their ideology. They’ll start looking for their next charismatic leader. They were on the Trump train because he was winning, not because they actually love him (“they” being the serious fascists, as opposed to the regular suburbanite fash-lite).

    • machiabelly [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      5 months ago

      Its like that in sports. Its way more dangerous to be a fan of the visiting team when the home team wins. People who start senseless violence are generally cowards who want an excuse to use violence to feel empowered. Fighting for a loser just doesn’t hit the same way for them.

        • machiabelly [she/her]@hexbear.net
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          5 months ago

          That would make some sense. Without a trump win the GOP is directionless. There could be death throes(not that the gop is actually dying) that take the form right wing violence.

          But think about how bad riots and stochastic terrorism would be after each crisis that happened during his presidency.

          I dont know how to find numbers for hate crimes and political violence after his win in 2016, but that’d be the best reference point.

  • Philosoraptor [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    Every time they tried to actually do any real direct action, they got their asses handed to them by anti fascists, so I think they’re a lot less eager to rumble than they were. Also, the serious far right will drop Trump like a hot rock as soon as he stops looking like an easy path to power. He’s a convenient conduit, not somebody they actually believe in. I’d expect to continue to see steady stochastic terrorism incidents, but nothing really organized (and we’ll keep getting those no matter who wins).

    Small business tyrants and boaters will make a lot of noise and probably sue, but I think they’ll stop short of doing anything more than that because of their material interests.

  • Mousy [they/them, love/loves]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    I doubt anything would happen but I do wonder who would be the fascist figurehead after trump kicks the bucket. I can’t imagine it being vance or any other assortment of goobers that ride on trump’s coat tails.

  • RiotDoll [she/her, she/her]@hexbear.net
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    5 months ago

    i think the militarized right is decently willing to pop off, and i have anxiety about a coup attempt amounting to more than a limp dicked capitol riot tbh

    but also most of them wouldn’t dare fuck up their sacred constitution, holy and beyond scrutiny

  • unmagical@lemmy.ml
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    5 months ago

    And what did the far right do last time he lost?

    That seemed like more than a fart, why should I expect less this time?