The idea that AI can do everything and that it will be cheap.
It’s not cheap now, it never will be with corporate greed.
It is still heavily subsidized and not profitable.
I know little about AI… can you explain your reasoning?
They are pitching that you can replace all schoolteachers with AI. As if a classroom full of kids is going to quietly shuffle in and sit down at a computer to be intellectually challenged without adults present.
They are pitching that most doctors can be replaced with AI.
Ahhhhhh… yes of course sometimes you just need a person
It almost works, but not quite. The sellers of the tech think it will eventually work, and that may be true but they are burning a a lot of goodwill and potential customers on the way. Some AI tech will survive, but it will be rebranded and just the stuff that proves actually useful or productivity enhancing.
This is exactly what happened with the three previous (or was it four?) waves of AI.
It was oversold. People got very cynical. Quiet rebranding behind the scenes let it continue life in the niches where it was appropriate.
DJT
AI. For … the fourth time or fifth time? (I’ve lost track of the generations of AI.)
Definitely not going to die, but the market/valuation will go way down as people realize it can kinda do a lot of things but mostly sucks at them compared to humans. It’s a tool, not a product.
Every previous wave of AI died in the same hype/disappointment cycle. Yes each previous wave still has niche uses, but their economic activity is basically a rounding error.
They’re dead.
The bodies are just still twitching a little from the chemical reactions of deccomposition.
The current wave will do the same thing.
It depends on what you consider dead. I was using generative AI in 2020 before this hype wave really began, but it was a healthy and growing niche.
The current state of the art models aren’t worth the unsubsidized cost/investment (future models might be but I’m very skeptical). The problem is huge companies are investing expecting ROI that I can’t imagine they’ll ever get. It’s going to crash.
I’m not sure whether the code completion models will ever die. They aren’t great but they are useful. Which is basically my assessment of AI as a whole. The vastly more expensive models that are marginally better are probably not sustainable, but local models and less expensive ones will probably stay with us.
But if you’re talking mostly from an economic standpoint, yeah I’m pretty sure it’s going to crash barring some significant breakthrough on cost reduction or output quality.
I’m talking from the global take on the economy, yes. This wave of AI will go the way of every previous wave: some niche products will use it effectively and the rest of the world will look back with keen embarrassment at this phase of history when people took LLMs seriously.
I mean there’s still practical uses for '50s-era “AI” out there. (“Symbolic AI” was it called?) But it is so tiny a segment it is basically nonexistent.
The united states
Roguelike deck building games.
You can pry my Balatro from my cold dead hands
I just can’t get into them…
Capitalism
Would be nice.
In 3 to 5 years? Optimistic, aren’t we.
I can guarantee that the trend of throwing popcorn at the minecraft movie will be dead /hj
Donald Trump.
Young adults seem like they’re dressing in 95-05 fashion choices. That’ll pass.
fashion choices. That’ll pass.
FTFY.
@remindme@mstdn.social 3 years
@threelonmusketeers Ok, I will remind you on Saturday Apr 15, 2028 at 3:03 PM UTC.
I hope everything on this list.
You’re looking at it.
