I don’t think they are thinking this far ahead and playing 4d chess with oil prices actually, in fact I don’t even think that US was expecting Iran to retaliate this directly against Gulf States and cut the traffic through Hormuz. In fact, even if that was their goal I don’t think high oil prices even help the moneyed class that much because US economy is fundamentally a consumer economy that becomes even more contradictory at high energy costs and they are definitely not pushing for renewables nor do I think there is an oil faction this powerful to get what they want at expense of everyone else.

There is a certain relief in the idea that the people in charge are doing things deliberately for predictable outcomes to benefit their own ends at expense of others in a very observably material way but I don’t think that’s the case here, it is just Israel is a rabid state that’s hellbent on damaging their regional rivals to keep them weak and disorganized, they are completely rogue now because since Gaza they realized they can just get away with anything they do that’s why they are outright killing crops in Lebanon and Syria with chemicals, destroying Iranian refineries to do what’s essentially a chemical attack on Tehran. In fact I believe that Israeli politicians and military, aside from having a zealous fascist ideology, also likely prefers a weak and isolated Iran rather than a “reformed liberal” Iran that’s friendly with US and pose an actual challenge for them politically and economically.

I’d even go far as to say that Israeli behavior doesn’t even benefit Israel per se, nor the livelihood and future of Jewish people in Middle-east even in a fascist ethnostate, but they think it does. That’s all there is to it, it is senseless violence and destruction, that’s a lose-lose situation for everyone involved, including US and Israel, except few politicians who are sheltered from accountability and consequences of their actions so they can do whatever.